NEWSEDGE

Paper — no real moneyremote14:48:05Zlive

Lane differential

datum $1,000.00 · shared scale
Lanes level
$0.00

0.00% of the $1,000.00 datum

Same signals, same algorithm. The aggregator lane acts 1h 12m later. Everything below is that delay, priced.

DIRECT$1,000.00·$0.00·0.00%
gap $0.00
AGGREGATOR$1,000.00·$0.00·0.00%
$1,000.00 start
DIRECTacts at ingest
Realized
·$0.00
Unrealized
·$0.00
Fees paid
$0.00
Cash idle
$1,000.00
Record
0W · 0L
Positions
0 open · 0 closed
AGGREGATORacts on the delayed clock
Realized
·$0.00
Unrealized
·$0.00
Fees paid
$0.00
Cash idle
$1,000.00
Record
0W · 0L
Positions
0 open · 0 closed

22 entries · 22 closed · 0 open · min net edge 0.0200/contract · Kelly ×0.2500 · max 0.0500 of bankroll per position

Equity tracker

240 samples · 18h 15m
SHADOW — DOWN
−$168.19

−16.82%against a $1,000.00 start · now $831.81

A control group, not a strategy. This lane takes the trades the risk gate refused, at a fixed stake, so the refusals can be measured instead of assumed. Below the datum is an expected result — it is what the gate was avoiding.

$1,000.00 start
20:28:40Z → 14:43:55Zlast 18h 15m of engine uptimehigh $831.80 · low $831.80
SHADOWDIRECTAGGREGATOR
Realized
−$168.20
banked — trades that are finished
Unrealized
·$0.00
marked to the book, not yet a result
Fees paid
$12.41
already spent, whatever the trades do
Record
1W · 20L
0 open · 22 closed

The series covers only the time the engine has been running (18h 15m). Nothing on this panel is annualized, extrapolated, or fitted to a trend.

Why we did not trade

5453 skips

1 of 5,453 skips (0%) are attributable to latency, not to risk filtering.

  • thin_book2,826
  • low_confidence2,616
  • duplicate9
  • insufficient_edge1
  • stale_signal1
latency-attributablerisk filter

Latency

60 signals in window
Ingest lag · median
2m 57s
publish → first seen
Ingest lag · p90
53m 17s
the tail we actually trade in
Modeled aggregator delay
1h 12m
index + cache + CDN + poll
Signal age ceiling
30m 00s
older than this is never traded
Had the price already moved?threshold ±3.00c mid
already moved 0not yet moved 80

On 0% of the 80 matched markets, the mid had already crossed the threshold between the source publishing and our decision. The aggregator lane meets that same market a further 1h 12m downstream.

Open positions

0 open

Nothing open. Positions appear here the moment either lane enters, and stay until a take-profit, stop, time-stop or settlement closes them.

Closed trades

22 closed · 0 markets traded by both lanes
LaneVenueMarketSideQtyEntryExitWhyFeesRealizedHeldClosedSig age
DIRPOLYWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?polymarket:110568426700454908727813010666782278712329569099119457880819387703511785225289YES10424.00c23.00ctime_stop1.50−$2.541h 03m19h 37m34m 45s
DIRPOLYWill Team Spirit Win the CS2 EWC 2026?polymarket:114008623399657087633174277420609460870563175830966075994649048699616228510561YES15616.40c14.37ctime_stop2.05−$5.221h 01m2d 06h1h 18m
DIRPOLYIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?polymarket:22322458153537436035969256266907664391697007152860300506602809069522585578342NO2693.00c91.00ctime_stop0.00−$0.521h 00m8d 21h13m 54s
DIRPOLYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?polymarket:79492971912420892776290893910148058147353983898749011679176479416889510526578YES2779.00c7.03ctime_stop0.00−$5.451h 00m14d 17h3m 25s
DIRPOLYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?polymarket:95577979648711137561778638101766617213130581085760544385254830392377913395624YES17814.66c14.00ctime_stop0.00−$1.181h 00m17d 15h15m 03s
DIRPOLYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 1?polymarket:91186875292929334197197343745399559969943069747955566738557359708439384628555NO4166.96c4.00ctime_stop3.01−$15.321h 00m18d 06h1h 26m
DIRPOLYBitcoin Up or Down on July 31?polymarket:20091790256236221395563524580877393186877379489629275113514439808672293442802NO2694.00c96.80ctime_stop0.17+$0.561h 00m19d 02h56s
DIRPOLYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?polymarket:112157595552502425360311365480557346272967836691353340001604809204498706086576NO3128.00c6.00ctime_stop0.00−$6.241h 00m19d 08h1m 53s
DIRKALSHIWill CPI rise more than 1.0% in August 2026?kalshi:KXCPI-26AUG-T1.0YES2896.57c1.07ctime_stop0.11−$26.851h 00m19d 22h1h 09m
DIRKALSHIWill CPI rise more than 0.9% in August 2026?kalshi:KXCPI-26AUG-T0.9YES5694.14c1.04ctime_stop0.19−$52.371h 00m19d 22h1h 09m
DIRPOLYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?polymarket:12769703657222289110863139123222000053803471956261605910761965486624303252006YES139.449.77c6.82ctime_stop0.91−$5.021h 00m19d 23h3m 07s
DIRPOLYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?polymarket:89731265201688934573289566127189974819778716044029261876931208278554506789737YES4385.70c5.50ctime_stop0.00−$0.881h 00m20d 06h3h 06m
DIRPOLYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?polymarket:77550960228341204288120509394963885549177211314903311399404330431381651171385NO7135.00c30.00ctime_stop0.00−$3.551h 00m20d 07h1m 28s
DIRPOLYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?polymarket:89731265201688934573289566127189974819778716044029261876931208278554506789737YES4385.70c5.50ctime_stop0.00−$0.881h 00m20d 07h5h 59m
DIRPOLYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?polymarket:107961194152792740725727064379230288293910546811577910480987951504293301797282NO2779.00c7.00ctime_stop0.00−$5.541h 00m20d 08h2m 14s
DIRPOLYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?polymarket:77550960228341204288120509394963885549177211314903311399404330431381651171385NO6936.00c36.00ctime_stop0.00·$0.001h 00m20d 09h1m 19s
DIRKALSHIWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting?kalshi:KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H26YES2156.60c3.00ctime_stop1.39−$9.141h 00m20d 10h1h 59m
DIRKALSHIWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2027 meeting?kalshi:KXFEDDECISION-27JUL-H25YES2157.60c3.71ctime_stop1.64−$10.011h 00m20d 10h1h 59m
DIRPOLYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?polymarket:55115078421062885512539156303747803058407616201213034911037320915726138659123YES9227.00c26.00ctime_stop0.00−$0.921h 00m20d 10h2h 09m
DIRPOLYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?polymarket:35198549486569600595408965368290795524428922595732253580266052028158040373233YES8928.00c28.00ctime_stop1.44−$1.441h 00m20d 10h3h 41m
DIRPOLYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?polymarket:85120775770768568171037319691430512769043349724236381575493834592043972740948NO3088.28c4.54ctime_stop0.00−$11.531h 00m20d 10h3h 49m
DIRPOLYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?polymarket:107961194152792740725727064379230288293910546811577910480987951504293301797282NO20812.00c10.00ctime_stop0.00−$4.161h 00m20d 10h3h 49m

Signal feed

60 of 26436 in window

Decision log

0 enter · 80 skip
  • AGGskip · thin_book4m 09s ago

    Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 20m
  • AGGskip · thin_book4m 09s ago

    Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 20m
  • AGGskip · thin_book4m 09s ago

    Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 20m
  • AGGskip · thin_book4m 09s ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 3h 16m
  • AGGskip · thin_book2h 07m ago

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 40m
  • AGGskip · thin_book2h 07m ago

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 40m
  • AGGskip · thin_book2h 07m ago

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 40m
  • DIRskip · thin_book2h 19m ago

    Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 16s
  • DIRskip · thin_book2h 19m ago

    Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 16s
  • DIRskip · thin_book2h 19m ago

    Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 16s
  • DIRskip · thin_book2h 19m ago

    Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 16s
  • DIRskip · thin_book2h 19m ago

    Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 16s
  • DIRskip · thin_book2h 19m ago

    Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 16s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 14m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 56s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 14m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 5m 56s
  • AGGskip · thin_book3h 22m ago

    Trump out as President by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 8h 04m
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 37m ago

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 10m 18s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 37m ago

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 10m 18s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 37m ago

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 10m 18s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 37m ago

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 10m 18s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 37m ago

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 10m 18s
  • DIRskip · thin_book3h 37m ago

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 10m 18s
  • DIRskip · thin_book4h 31m ago

    Trump out as President by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 6h 55m
  • DIRskip · thin_book4h 31m ago

    Trump out as President by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 6h 55m
  • AGGskip · thin_book4h 35m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 06m
  • AGGskip · thin_book4h 35m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 06m
  • AGGskip · thin_book4h 35m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 06m
  • DIRskip · thin_book5h 17m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 24m 26s
  • DIRskip · thin_book5h 17m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 24m 26s
  • DIRskip · thin_book5h 17m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 24m 26s
  • DIRskip · thin_book5h 17m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 24m 26s
  • DIRskip · thin_book5h 17m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 24m 26s
  • DIRskip · thin_book5h 17m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 24m 26s
  • AGGskip · thin_book5h 56m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 4h 26m
  • AGGskip · thin_book5h 56m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 4h 26m
  • AGGskip · thin_book5h 56m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 4h 26m
  • AGGskip · low_confidence6h 00m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 1h 27m
  • AGGskip · thin_book6h 00m ago

    Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 27m
  • AGGskip · thin_book6h 00m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 39m
  • AGGskip · thin_book6h 03m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 58m
  • AGGskip · thin_book6h 03m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 58m
  • AGGskip · thin_book6h 03m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 58m
  • AGGskip · low_confidence6h 45m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 1h 06m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 08m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 08m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 08m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 08m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 08m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 08m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 54m
  • AGGskip · thin_book7h 12m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 43m 33s
  • AGGskip · low_confidence7h 16m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 1h 49m
  • DIRskip · low_confidence7h 20m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 7m 01s
  • DIRskip · low_confidence7h 20m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 7m 01s
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 20m ago

    Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 7m 01s
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 20m ago

    Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 7m 01s
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 27m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 27m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 27m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 27m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 27m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 54m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 27m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 2h 54m
  • AGGskip · thin_book7h 31m ago

    Trump out as President by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 33m
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 35m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 4m 24s
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 35m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 4m 24s
  • AGGskip · low_confidence7h 39m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 1h 00m
  • DIRskip · low_confidence7h 46m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 5m 15s
  • DIRskip · low_confidence7h 46m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 5m 15s
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 46m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 9m 03s
  • DIRskip · thin_book7h 46m ago

    Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 9m 03s
  • DIRskip · low_confidence8h 33m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 6m 33s
  • DIRskip · low_confidence8h 33m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 6m 33s
  • DIRskip · thin_book8h 37m ago

    Trump out as President by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 27m 08s
  • DIRskip · thin_book8h 37m ago

    Trump out as President by July 31?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 27m 08s
  • AGGskip · thin_book8h 41m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 21m 20s
  • AGGskip · thin_book8h 41m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 21m 20s
  • AGGskip · thin_book8h 41m ago

    Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 21m 20s
  • AGGskip · thin_book8h 41m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 29?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 41m
  • AGGskip · thin_book8h 41m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on July 30?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 41m
  • AGGskip · thin_book8h 41m ago

    Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?

    no book available from venue

    signal age at decision 1h 41m
  • AGGskip · low_confidence8h 48m ago

    Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

    matcher confidence 0.29 < 0.55

    signal age at decision 1h 10m

Engine

cycle 4m 24s · 40961 markets watched
runninglast tick 4m 09s agosignals 26,436mode remote
  • ▲ ingest15s
    70 items · {"sources":35,"fetched":678,"inserted":70,"duplicates":608,"notModified":5,"failures":["gdacs-alerts: timeout"]}
  • ingest15s
    70 items
  • ▲ catalog6s
    840 items · failed series: KXFEDDECISION,KXPAYROLLS,KXU3,KXGDP,KXGOVSHUTDOWN,KXPRESPARTY,KXNATGASSTORAGE,KXMLBHRR,KXNFLGAME
  • ▲ record3m 46s
    0 items · database disk image is malformed
  • match551ms
    4 items
  • decide525ms
    4 items

3 phases failed on the last cycle: ingest, catalog, record

  • GDACS — Global Disaster Alerts: timeout
  • ingest: {"sources":35,"fetched":678,"inserted":70,"duplicates":608,"notModified":5,"failures":["gdacs-alerts: timeout"]}
  • catalog: failed series: KXFEDDECISION,KXPAYROLLS,KXU3,KXGDP,KXGOVSHUTDOWN,KXPRESPARTY,KXNATGASSTORAGE,KXMLBHRR,KXNFLGAME
  • record: database disk image is malformed